Staking plans can now be placed at your finger tips, doing really complicated calculations in milli seconds. By strictly following one of these money management strategies, you can avoid increasing your stakes based on emotions when facing a bigger loss. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. Once you’ve located the corners, drive the stakes into the ground so they’re securely in place. All races are not the same and I’ll teach which to bet. Take 100 units out for the first day. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. The art of clever staking. Bets with odds of between 1. Taking this a bit further. It provides stake recommendations and calculates your hypothetical profit had you strictly followed each of the four staking plans: level stakes, percentage stakes, square root stakes and the Kelly Criterion. 3 per cent on turnover, while level stakes loses 25 per cent! Quite a difference. Work out the approximate odds of. Column H's formula can be varied to suit whatever your target amount is (and comfort level). If on the other hand you were placing £10 on each horse you would be down by £30, nearly six times the loss than using level returns. Favourites Phenomenon Review Free Bets amp Casino Bonuses 2018. . Big Six (2) Caulfiled Cup Melbourne Cup Group Races (5) Doubles (13) Exactas (2) Favourites (2) Fibonacci Sequence (1) First Four (9) Frame Betting (1)The maximum amount to bet is set at 10%. 75 units, or 25 per cent on turnover. Use your form reading skills to decide if a candidate is a strong favourite or not. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. And so on. Very nice indeed! The strike-rate has. You know, the number of people who just. It's all a mat. Two favourites at $2. Evidence enough of their worth, taking the past as the guide, is that if a favourite fits into this statistical group the percentages indicate it has a strong winning chance. 85%. 50 chance and $28 on the $3. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. The kind of staking plan that works best for them may be different from someone following long-shot bets on horses, or someone betting on the over 2. That means relatively small returns compared to your stake, but with an increases chance of actually winning the bet. 44 points. Over the years, enough has been written about the fact that betting on favourites is not profitable, even if they do win roughly 30 per cent of races. Before looking into progression betting and betting to prices, I will look at some more general staking concepts and explain the. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. TAGS > odds on, odds on staking plan, short odds, short odds betting, short odds staking plan. You can. By making sure that you constantly risk the same amount of money, you limit the potential hits that you can take while being influenced to look for value when searching for lines that you want to bet on. Arial,Bold"AusSportsBetting. Sports betting can be a risky venture, but it can also be incredibly rewarding. Column B: Total Stake: $34 Return: $42. This simple method involves investing the same amount of capital on every wager you place. For instance, if you have just backed a 5-2 winner, you advance two steps. If the horse wins ' you get a return of $1325 for an outlay of $115. The bets on the other horses are as follows: Horse Y's percentage is 20 divided by 61. 3 per cent on turnover, while level stakes loses 25 per cent! Quite a difference. It's not something they can ever be cured of, but this staking plan at least attempts to put them in a better position to overcome the inherent financial dangers posed by chain betting. You have chosen the two races you consider the best of the day. 5/2. Thus the nameThe. In this one, you consider only those favourites which had their last run within the previous 21 days. The first bet is always one unit so the first stake is £1. . So the 6-Point Plan loses 8. Dutch Betting Calculator Explained. I think he was right. Percent to Bet – Initial Percentage of the Start Stake relative to the start bank. Sadly, they don’t pay enough to cover your outlay, let alone show a profit. 00), your liability is greater than what you stand to win. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. The most profitable staking plan was the Kelly Staking Plan. Labouchere is a negative progression betting staking plan based on a mathematical sequence like Fibonacci. You can make a nice killing when the favs score at, say, 3/1 or 7/2. So I wanted to find out what staking plan was best for. 10 odds or close to that price (i. Betting Free Staking Plans Staking Plans for Gambling and Racing Find a staking plan to manage your betting bank If you're serious about winning on horse racing or gambling,. Include the favourite in quinellas or as a one-out in a. 50 and $3. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . If your bank is $1,000 then your betting unit will be $10. In this one, you consider only those favourites which had their last run within the previous 21 days. Receive latest horse racing news, race previews and our hand picked selections. You get back $50 for a profit of $17 (+51. In this, the second of a three-part series, Heale Hartley continues his in-depth look at staking plans and makes some interesting conclusions about a variety of staking plans and concepts. From Adrian Massey’s website. The method, as you will probably realise, is designed to sort out true favourites. . Expert tips from our racing analysts. 05 * $100 = $5. Study the two daily double races carefully pick one race in which the favourite seems to have a strong chance. Your bank is $20. A2. You might have even tossed in Not Fussy in the first event, and Our Highlander in the fifth, both at less than 2/1 ($2. Top Dog + Top Box = Top Bet. Starts Since Spell Statistics. That means instead of adding $7 to your Base Bet, you add $20 (that is, 10 flows of $2 each). They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. 1991-2009. 00 or less. Staking has been covered many times in P. As opposed to you just guessing that you’ll bet $20 on the Jets game. So, for example, every. He felt the strength of his betting was a very careful selection of his bets, mostly choosing short-priced favourites, and. Prices from 7. Mar 26, 2023 #6. I think he was right. Weight Variation From Last Start Statistics. plans” form, and that it has green color which indicates that you are using individual staking plans. I think he was right. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Example: Spread 5. Secure Staking Plan. In this simulation, we used the Kelly Criterion formula for proportional sports betting. Quite a few friends of mine have started off following certain staking approaches-and then simply discarded them when a few losers arrived and, quite naturally, the plans couldn't deliver a positive result. 07% depending on the time. I think he was right. Sort of like Genesis in a way. 5 – 5, where 1 unit = $10. Punters who set a profit target in each race might also adjust their stake according to the price to achieve that target amount. and now I've heard of one more plan! Using place bets, a friend told me he had not had a losing year for six years. The HRC Plate, a black-type event for mares at Caulfield in early February, was a very open affair with two equal favourites at $4 but only four runners in the field of 13 at quotes of $10 or less. 2%. You only go forward when you win - and you follow the above progression list to determine how far forward you go. The First 4 is an exotic bet type that is becoming more and more popular. You begin by betting 1/20th of the capital, making the bet 10 units on all selections. Firstly, we'll look at the difference between a bet on a horse at even money. I should warn an edge like that would require some serious inside info. Some punters like to bet for a win, others for a place, still others love the quinellas or trifectas, or doubles. The best staking plan listed here with no bankruptcy is the Square Root plan with 1,914 points profit which beat level stakes profit of 97 points by a lot. Average Win Dividend: $2. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 5. Start with the favourite Reject any horses not ridden by a top jockey Reject any horses without good form at the course Reject any horses trained by a yard with a. 75 units, or 25 per cent on turnover. Th. . If we take a hypothetical place treble of three favourites each paying, say, $1. 57 x 20 = 6. Last month I promised to design a year's hypothetical staking plan, an example for you that would restrict your betting on poor days and increase it on the better days, according to your wishes. Like with all examples, the bet loses. It must also have a win strike rate of at least 25 per cent and a place strike rate of at least 60 per cent. The opening and minimum bet is 10 per cent, split to one-fia. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. No plan or approach can work without winners. Less 1/2 win 75% Place 87%. 09. Look at pre-post favourites with odds in the range 8/11 to 9/4 inclusive (that is, in tote terms, $1. 50 for the place. If we could strike 15 of these 3/1 trebles we would be into a healthy profit situation. 6: Red background: Bankrupt staking plans – These staking plans went bankrupt and their settings are too dangerous to be considered. 7-2 to 5--1: The recommended staking for horses in this price range is 8%. As promised, this month we are going to take a look at staking methods for trifectas. Now, professional punters love this approach. 00) to win is 3/1 (4. Then we can select “Percentage” from the list of staking plans and adjust the percent we will bet each time. Initially, forum users likely believed the Maria Staking. At the same meeting in the Coolmore Classic, the equal favourites were Typhoon Tracy and Gallant. P. com was first established in 1999 as a down to earth punters' site without all the fake sales hype and pop ups. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. M. The fixed staking plans also cut across 15, 30, 60, and 90 days. This would now be $102, so your next investment would be the result of 50 divided into 102. Now to find out what to bet on each runner: You divide each horse’s individual percentage by the overall percentage figure – then multiply by the total amount you want to stake on the event ($20 in this example). This way, even after encountering a losing streak. Once every year, around about this time, we take stock and look at where things are going. Identify short-priced favorites with value: you’ve. Victoria can proudly boast many of the best country racetracks in Australia. If they are false or vulnerable and you consciously bet against them to begin with, stand by your guns. So two favourites at less than 2/1 can make a pretty decent profit. M. 5. Originally, the plan came from America and was specifically designed for betting on the 1st, 2nd and 3rd favourites in each race, but only if the favourite was. I think he was right. Staking Plan #1 presents a particularly bad sequence of 50 favourites, producing only 15 winners and level stakes loss of over 12 units, a Loss On Turnover (LOT) of 24. Sometimes a maximum and minimum unit stake is used, from one unit to twenty units for example. Dutch Deluxe in a software that has 3 different dutching options. In this staking strategy, a punter bets a certain number of ‘units’ based on their confidence, with a ‘unit’ being a predetermined amount of money. Your basic betting unit is ONE per cent of your total bank. M. Staking Plans The Good the Bad and the Downright Ugly. Most of the other recommended staking plans are more complicated to use than either Secure or Whitaker Staking. You can start before March 6 if you like of course, but it is the first. 19 backing and 19 laying staking plans: Automatic markets and selections search across the all sports events: Load multiple UK, AUS, US races, greyhounds and other markets: Betting on unnamed favourites (1-6. 40 and $2. The win bet is a rounded dollar rate, 1 per cent of the highest point of the bank, while place bet is the remainder of outlay. It allows you to set and run multiple betting strategies at same time. Deposit: $10 Grosvenor Review. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Profit on turnover: 25 per cent. In the second part of this interesting book, Knowles explores target betting and his Power of Ten Staking plan. 16) of our free Excel betting tracker. O. 5 to 8. 2. Before looking into progression betting and betting to prices, I will look at some more general staking concepts and explain the. 2. . Do punters give staking plans a fair go? Frankly, I don't think they do. Problem!Matched betting is all about place no risk bets but dutching sees you increase the stakes somewhat. The tried and proven 6-Point Divisor Plan is still regarded as one of the best for those punters who draw up sensible selections. Take bet 10 above and you can see that a stake of £35 is required to win just £15 and you have already laid out over £85. 5. Beneficially, we advise that you use not more than 3% progression to avoid unnecessary liabilities. Or to be more specific, six selections in those races in which you attempt to get the trifecta. The concept is to place a single bet – let’s say 20 euros – on small odds sure wins close to 1. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. 50. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. You might have even tossed in Not Fussy in the first event, and Our Highlander in the fifth, both at less than 2/1 ($2. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. Background: The Special Factor Plan was devised with two purposes in mind: 1). A staking plan based on the approach of betting MORE for a place than for a win is known as The 10 Per Cent Carve up. You can have one strategy betting on favourites, a second one trading on horse races, a third one betting on tennis matches and several other strategies betting on football events or tipster tips. While it might look a bit funny to call our Plan of the Month “Plan for the Year”, it doesn’t hurt to remind yourself every now and again of some of the fundamental aspects of racing. Labouchere. The reasoning is simple. If the bet loses, double your stake on your next horse. 7/2 = 4. Average Win Dividend: $3. The very first bet will be 0. The doubles would return you $40, the trebles would return $80, the quaddies would return $80 as well and the lone quintuple would get you $32. As one example of what can happen, let's assume that the favourites win races 4, 5, 6 and 7. This is an easy strategy and yet it can’t always ensure profit. The required bank is 510 units which covers a series of 45 bets (5 series of 9 each). For example if the profit target is $100 and a runner is at $6 the punter will bet $20. 5 goals markets in football. A further extension of this idea would be to chase winning doubles with the favourites in each race. Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. A Little Extra Income. 3 per cent, an amazing turn-around. ’ Using a staking plan is one of the best measures to betting that maximizes winnings with fewer losses. Some years ago, while holidaying for a lengthy period in France, I met a chap who made his money on the Paris races by following a two-horses-in-the-one-race approach. The best way to understand the lay 1-4 staking plan is by working through an example. These 3 lay systems encapsulate the wide. Like with all examples, the bet loses. All members of the team had varying. How strong are the betting favourites? If they are solid and you have them on your ticket, forget saving. Odds On Betting Systems Free Horse Racing Tips. It's surprising - though it shouldn't be - how many professional punters continue to use 'divisor' betting. Bet strongly on true favourites. However, as the lay odds are above evens (2. Races qualifying: 4260. Th. A staking plan for low odds shows you how to make the most of your budget for bets that don’t have high returns. As the race turned out, they ran 1st and 2nd, with Theseo the winner. If at any point during a series of 500 wagers. 43. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Then we would have the March 13 family, and the March 20 family, the March 27 family and so on into April. A video description of the strategy and the spreadsheet is included. The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. Horse racing systems and research. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. Used in conjunction with Gruss Betting Assistant, TBM is compatible with both Betfair and Betdaq Betting Exchange. . Use this spreadsheet to trade to a Bet profit target and a Lay profit target, using a single stake. So I wanted to find out what staking plan was best for. In essence, the Plateau Staking Plan works like this: 1. com Betting Tracker Introduction Page / 1 4 7 14 4 4. Drive the stakes into the ground. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. Horse at 7/1: 10 divided by 7 = a stake of £1. You would have many good strikes. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. Originally, the plan came from America and was specifically designed for betting on the 1st, 2nd and 3rd favourites in each race, but only if the favourite was. Bank Two, though, is now in profit with its bet of $25 at 5/1, returning $150. However, under the selection rules with the poll, the average odds should be close to 3/1, or better than 3/1, although if a bettor were using the staking plan on his own selections he would, no doubt, occasionally come up with short-priced choices. 7: Bold Type: Highlights the recommended staking plan of that risk category. Starters qualifying: 6414. If you took the $50 as the profit, your square root figure to be added to the next Base Bet would be $7. There was a 3rd selection for the Australian Greyhound Betting System that didn’t place on the night in the first race at Wentworth Park Greyhounds called Lady Divine. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. Check the stakes periodically. Staking Plans; Favourites; No data found Favourites 2 Favourites. The minimum acceptable price for ANY favourite is $2. 5 per cent, while the staking plan returns a 59 units profit which equates to a Profit On Turnover (POT) of 13. Taking this idea even further, we can examine the prospects of yet another interesting plan which relies on the favourites for its bets. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . 92% Wins: 61, losses: 32. 2%. Five steps. 50. Lets say you bet 200 bets a year. It is based around the fact that lower odds on a horse imply that it is more likely to win than a horse with higher odds. 14). Read about Master Golf Betting Success: Friendly Interview on Optimizing Your Staking Plans on Golfing Odds - Golf Odds, Golf News, Golf Picks . Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. OK so maybe you can only afford a bankroll of 1000 euro, which means your average unit will be 20. 50). 2 odds daily. Start Bank – Self Explanatory. If, however, each favourite averaged out at, say, $1. Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. If you have five bets a. M. Over the years, enough has been written about the fact that betting on favourites is not profitable, even if they do win roughly 30 per cent of races. $156. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN. 50. We will use a start bank of £100 and one unit will be £1. P. Choose one as the banker, play the other two to save your stake (or make a small profit) and put the rest of your stake on the banker. (a) If Horse A wins and pays 9/2 ($5. Three for the Money. 3. 5/2. (3) Step 2. The payouts are big. At the same meeting in the Coolmore Classic, the equal favourites were Typhoon Tracy and Gallant Tess. Each series total outlay is 102 units. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. You are now ahead by 6. 25. Take 100 units out for the first day. THE SAFE INSURANCE PLAN My idea with this plan is to provide you with a staking idea that gives you the chance of good returns, and yet provides a key element of insurance against big losses. 5 units. Critics have lambasted divisor betting because they say you can end up chasing your tail and betting huge amounts of. On that day they either won as favourites or they won at 15/1 and 20/1. A slight variant on the level stakes plan is to wager the same percentage of your account balance on each selection. STAKING SECRETS (Part 2) In this, the second of a three-part series, Heale Hartley continues his in-depth look at staking plans and makes some interesting conclusions about a variety of staking plans and concepts. A staking plan is, essentially, a method to determine how much money should go on each bet. Place Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -6. Bank One would now stand at $880, and Bank Two would stand at $975. In his book Commonsense Betting, which is arguably the finest book written on the betting and the mathematics of horse-racing, US author Dick Mitchell wrote about various staking plans. It provides for a steady return on sensible selections. Lay of the Day progressive staking strategy blog co uk. Therefore, two-thirds of favourites must, by definition, be ‘false’ favourites. Two-thirds of the year, most of the time, we all. Deposit: $10 NetBet Review. Pick your three best horses in each of the races (or take the pre-post favourites). Sadly, they don’t pay enough to cover your outlay, let alone show a profit. . 5 per cent). a 3 unit bet is bet three times unless a winner is struck and then the progression reverts to the start again). The March 6 family would be the original ancestors for this staking plan. Section A A1. Same Track Last Start Statistics. 1st and 3rd favourite. Total P/L: 12. 4%. Click on “Deselect all strategies” (1), then click the “Select” box for the EXAMPLE – Bet on all imported tips (2). Would you believe a return of $253? All you are doing is betting $6 the singles and $1 the doubles as follows. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. Doing this brings the number of races to 269 with 2,967 runners and the outcome is interesting. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN. Column H's formula can be varied to suit whatever your target amount is (and comfort level). If on the other hand you were placing £10 on each horse you would be down by £30, nearly six times the loss than using level returns. Overall, it is a strategy that is perfect for some punters. Staking Plan Calculator and Betting Tracker v1. The favourites that WIN come from a particular group of statistics. Click here to read Part 2. In The Staking Plans Book, we found that Percentage Staking was actually the best staking plan for the Colossus 3 strategy. It provides stake recommendations and calculates your hypothetical profit had you strictly followed each of the four staking plans: level stakes, percentage stakes, square root stakes and the Kelly Criterion. $156. Finally, it is worth noting that some of the strategies we’ve highlighted require deep research, which involves spending a lot of time before placing any actual bets. However, using the best staking plan may just be as difficult as getting the right bets. If there is sufficient confidence in the favourite winning, the punter should increase. During a losing run with winners, a continual flow of place divvies will more than offset the straightout losses. The same goes for the money returned from race 8-it goes onto the favourites in the first two races at the next meeting. 50. 5-2 Bet 5 NIL. 20, leaving you losing £1. You also know that if this horse loses you will need to stake another £47 on the next bet, a total of over £160 and you only started off betting £1. Your Dutch Bets can be split into 3 main types. 1 of 1%, your divisor here would be 1000 not 333 which we use for one third of one percent or 250 if you wanted to chase one quarter of one percent. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Let's say the favourites were at evens, 5/2, 2/1 and 11/4. 80.